OAG Aviation FACTS
OAG Aviation FACTS
OAG FACTS MARCH 2009: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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GLOBAL AIRLINE CAPACITY AND FLIGHT VOLUMES CONTINUE TO DECLINE,
ACCORDING TO OAG
  • Eighth successive month of fewer airline schedules
  • 5% fewer flights and 3% drop in seat capacity for March 2009
  • Domestic U.S. continues to bear the brunt of the cutbacks

The world's airlines have scheduled 4.9% fewer flights for March 2009 compared with the same month last year, with a 3.3% drop in capacity, according to the latest statistics from OAG, the world's leading aviation data business. This is the eighth successive month of declines, and represents a reduction of more than 122,000 flights and 9.8 million seats year on year. The total number of flights scheduled to operate worldwide this month is 2.38 million, offering 289.8 million seats to travelers around the globe.

The figures are revealed in the March 2009 edition of OAG FACTS (Frequency & Capacity Trend Statistics), the dynamic monthly market intelligence tool providing the latest data on current passenger airline activity around the world.

Within this global figure of all scheduled passenger flight operations, the low cost sector accounts for 419,000 flights (18%) and 61.9 million seats (21%).  Frequencies and capacity in the low cost sector are both showing a marginal 0.8% decline for March 2009 compared to March 2008.

Global airline schedules for the first quarter 2009 have dropped by 6.7%, or 491,000 fewer flights. This is the first time we have seen a downturn in Q1 figures since 2002, when the industry was absorbing the double impact of 9/11 terrorist attacks on the U.S. and an economic meltdown from the burst of the dot.com bubble.  Capacity for this quarter also has fallen by 4.4%, representing a reduction of 38.6 million seats.






Analysis by Region
The volume of flights within North America has dropped by 8.7% (81,000 flights), with a capacity reduction of 7.7% (6.53 million seats).  Traffic to and from the region is showing a similar pattern, with a fall in both frequencies and capacity of 8.3% (7,800 fewer flights) and 6.6% (1.2 million fewer seats) respectively.

Latin America also is experiencing significant cutbacks in airline service. Intra-regionally, this month's figures show a decline of 7,266 fewer flights (down 3.8%) offering 379,800 fewer seats (down 2%).  For service into and out of the region, the figures are higher, with an 8.5% decline in flight volumes and 5.2% less capacity, representing more than 500,000 fewer seats.

Asia is holding up much better with a slight decline of 1.3% in intra-regional services (a downturn of 6,897 flights) and just 116 fewer flights to/from the region (down by 0.2%) compared with March 2008.  Capacity figures reveal a marginal reduction of 0.6% in seat offerings to/from the region, and a welcome boost of 0.6% in scheduled capacity within Asia of 500,330 more seats.

Europe continues to see sharp cutbacks both within and to/from the region, with declines in frequencies of 4.1% (23,600 fewer flights) and 3.1% (2,845 fewer flights) respectively.  The capacity counts also show a reduction of 4.3% (2.9 million seats) on intra-regional flights and 2.8% (588,200 seats) on routes to and from outside Europe.

The Middle East is bucking the global trend with comparatively healthy growth. There is a 4% increase in intra-regional flights (1,415 additional scheduled services) with 96,600 more seat capacity (up by 1.8%), and a hefty 14% rise in frequencies and capacity to/from the region, with 5,438 more flights offering 1.18 million more seats for March 2009 compared to March 2008.



Africa remains fairly stable compared with this time last year. Intra-regional services have increased by 0.3% (196 more flights) offering 46,538 more seats, a rise of 0.8%.  Traffic to/from the region is marginally down, with a 0.4% decrease (136 fewer flights) and 0.6% fewer seats on offer.

Analysis by Country – Highlights: 
Within the United States this month, domestic airline activity has dropped 9.2% overall, or 76,164 fewer flights, resulting in 6.5 million fewer seats. The U.S. low cost sector is showing a year-on-year decrease for the month of just over 9% for both frequencies and capacity.

Top ranking countries by cutbacks:

  • Domestic frequencies = United States (-76,164 flights) followed by Mexico (-6,154 flights)

  • International frequencies = United Kingdom (-9,920 flights) followed by Spain (-9,452 flights)

  • Domestic capacity = United States (-6,534,701 seats) followed by Indonesia (-745,962 seats)

  • International capacity = United Kingdom (-1,673,347 seats) followed by Spain (-1,509,754 fewer seats)

Top ranking countries by growth:

  • Domestic frequencies = China (+14,483 flights) followed by Colombia (+4,109 flights)

  • International frequencies = Turkey (+3,330 flights) followed by United Arab Emirates (+3,050 flights)

  • Domestic capacity = China (+2,422,355 seats) followed by Japan (+721,170 seats)

  • International capacity = United Arab Emirates (+677,771 seats) followed by Turkey (+606,215 seats).





Analysis by Airport – Highlights:

The Airport with highest capacity cut for March 2009 compared to March 2008 is Las Vegas McCarran, with a downturn of 679,592 seats (down by 13.8%).  When the figures are analysed by volume of cutbacks in scheduled service operations, Los Angeles has the largest decline of 6,726 flights (down by 13.6%).

In terms of growth, Beijing Airport has the highest growth in scheduled service for this month, with an additional 7,976 flights (up by 26.2%) and over 1.3 million more seats (up by 22.5%).



Analysis by Major Routes
The OAG figures for March reveal a continuing slowdown in the global figures and on the key long-haul routes between North America and hubs in Europe, Asia Pacific and Latin America.
Activity between North America and Asia Pacific is down by the largest margin, at 10.3%, or 999 fewer flights. The only major intra-regional route showing growth is for flights between Western Europe and the Middle East, which is up by 11.4%, or 1,383 additional flights this month compared with March 2008.





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OAG FACTS enables you to see trends at-a-glance. An easy to use tool providing the latest data on current airline activity around the world. Updated monthly, it uses interactive graphs to display a visual trend of the performance of a specific airport, route, country or region from 2001 - 2009.


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